六方位相对标图法绘算目标运动参数

基于相对运动原理以及观测平台在机动前后以被动方式分别测取的目标六个不同方位,提出了一种观测平台隐蔽确定目标运动参数的相对标图绘算方法。文章论证了该方法的基本原理和给出了具体的绘算原理方法步骤,并对该方法的不同绘算态势下的使用结果与使用影响因素进行了分析。实际绘算使用结果表明,利用该方法绘目标运动参数时的速度与精度能够满足绝大部分态势下的目标运动参数绘算需要。     

Interchange fee rate,merchant discount rate,and retail price in a credit card network: A game‐theoretic analysis

We consider two game‐theoretic settings to determine the optimal values of an issuer's interchange fee rate, an acquirer's merchant discount rate, and a merchant's retail price in a credit card network. In the first setting, we investigate a two‐stage game problem in which the issuer and the acquirer first negotiate the interchange fee rate, and the acquirer and the retailer then determine their merchant discount rate and retail price, respectively. In the second setting, motivated by the recent US bill “H.R. 2695,” we develop a three‐player cooperative game in which the issuer, the acquirer, and the merchant form a grand coalition and bargain over the interchange fee rate and the merchant discount rate. Following the cooperative game, the retailer makes its retail pricing decision. We derive both the Shapley value‐ and the nucleolus‐characterized, and globally‐optimal unique rates for the grand coalition. Comparing the two game settings, we find that the participation of the merchant in the negotiation process can result in the reduction of both rates. Moreover, the stability of the grand coalition in the cooperative game setting may require that the merchant should delegate the credit card business only to the issuer and the acquirer with sufficiently low operation costs. We also show that the grand coalition is more likely to be stable and the U.S. bill “H.R. 2695” is thus more effective, if the degree of division of labor in the credit card network is higher as the merchant, acquirer, and issuer are more specialized in the retailing, acquiring, and issuing operations, respectively. © 2012 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2012     

退化速率跟踪粒子滤波在剩余使用寿命预测中的应用

毋庸置疑,剩余使用寿命预测对于设备的健康管理越来越重要。近年来粒子滤波方法被越来越多地应用到设备寿命预测技术当中,这是因为粒子滤波方法能更好地解决非线性非高斯系统滤波问题,而且能够获得不确定度信息。但该方法的预测性能却过度依赖于预测模型,并且对于模型参数的初始分布也比较敏感,这在一定程度上限制了粒子滤波预测方法的进一步发展。针对基本粒子滤波预测方法的不足,提出了一种基于退化速率跟踪粒子滤波的通用预测框架,以历史观测数据的退化速率统计规律作为指导来跟踪目标数据的退化速率,实现对粒子滤波预测方法的简化,并将该方法用于轴承和锂离子电池的剩余使用寿命预测,验证了方法的有效性。     

On lifetimes in random environments

For a component operating in random environment, whose hazard rate is assumed to be the realization of a suitable increasing stochastic process, conditions are found such that its lifetime is increasing in likelihood ratio (ILR). For the lifetimes of two components of the same kind some comparisons based on partial stochastic orders are presented. Some applications to the case of repairable components are finally provided. © 1998 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 45: 365–375, 1998     

锥形液膜的Kelvin-Helmholtz扰动波

为进行锥形液膜雾化过程分析,研究锥形液膜的Kelvin-Helmholtz稳定性问题,应用小扰动假设,建立了锥形液膜数学模型、轴对称扰动运动的控制方程和边界条件,采用分离变量法求解线性偏微分扰动方程组,经过严格的数学推导,得到了锥形液膜内外表面扰动波增长速率特征方程.当液膜锥角为零时,与环形液膜扰动波特征方程一致;当液膜锥角和液膜内径为零时,与圆射流扰动波特征方程一致,表明导出的锥形液膜扰波动方程是合理的.     

线性核时频信号表示及其仿真

根据ｃｈｉｒｐ信号在模糊域的特点,本文提出了线性核时频表示方法。这种方法在提高分辨率、消除交叉项以及抑制噪声等方面都具有较高的性能。理论分析和实验结果都证实了这种方法的有效性     

建筑构件的火灾危险性评估

火灾中,起火建筑的内部构件以及相邻建筑物的外部构件都要受到火灾高温及火焰热的作用。本文定量评估了威胁上述建筑构件的火灾因素．旨在为人们综合考虑采取合理的防火技术措施提供理论依据。     

对调频斜率极性捷变SAR欠采样转发干扰

针对传统欺骗干扰难以对调频斜率极性捷变SAR（chirp rate polarity jittered SAR, CRPJ-SAR）形成有效干扰，研究了对CRPJ-SAR欠采样转发干扰。通过建立CRPJ-SAR有限时长欠采样转发干扰信号模型，分析了欠采样转发干扰对CRPJ-SAR的干扰效果。给出假目标数目、位置以及幅度的理论计算公式。在此基础上讨论了欠采样周期对干扰效果的影响。利用数字仿真验证了理论分析的正确性。     

变极性等离子弧焊换向过程控制方法研究

通过试验证实了变极性等离子弧焊换向过程中存在电弧电流谐振现象,且不同极性的电流谐振峰值不同,依据电弧理论分析发现换向期间等效电弧电阻是一个时变量。对换向电路建模分析和仿真结果表明,在换向期间系统阻尼比为时变量,调整系统阻尼比是降低电流谐振峰值的有效途径。又根据变结构控制思想提出了新的换向控制方法,并重新设计了换向电路,显著降低了电流谐振峰值,改善了大电流焊接时换向器件的工作状态,为大功率变极性等离子弧焊电源的研制和开发提供了依据。     

When are observed failures more informative than observed survivals?

A framework involving independent competing risks permits observing failures due to a specific cause and failures due to a competing cause, which constitute survival times from the cause of primary interest. Is observing more failures more informative than observing survivals? Intuitively, due to the definitiveness of failures, the answer seems to be the former. However, it has been shown before that this intuition holds when estimating the mean but not the failure rate of the exponential model with a gamma prior distribution for the failure rate. In this article, we address this question at a more general level. We show that for a certain class of distributions failures can be more informative than survivals for prediction of life length and vice versa for some others. We also show that for a large class of lifetime models, failure is less informative than survival for estimating the proportional hazards parameter with gamma, Jeffreys, and uniform priors. We further show that, for this class of lifetime models, on average, failure is more informative than survival for parameter estimation and for prediction. These results imply that the inferential purpose and properties of the lifetime distribution are germane for conducting life tests. © 2013 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2013